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Do Price-Earnings Ratios Drive Stock Values?

Does a high price-earnings ratio indicate high or low earnings growth or higher or lower future stock prices? Data for the S&P 500, the MSCI World Index, the Europe Index, and the EAFE are examined using regression analysis. The results suggest that subsequent prices rise but subsequent yields decline with high P/E ratios. Adjusted for statistical issues such as autocorrelation, heteroscedasticity, unit roots, and non-stationarity, the findings suggest that P/E ratios may not have as great an impact on prices as once expected, and that they have no impact whatsoever on subsequent yields.

 

 

Journal Link

 

 

The Journal of Portfolio Management, Fall 2006-Bhargava, Vivek Malhotra, D. K.

28.11.2006